Jordan Hawkins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Hawkins

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Hawkins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Hawkins slots into the 83rd percentile for shots while on the road, averaging 11.1 per game since the start of last season.
Jordan Hawkins has attempted 7.9 shots from downtown per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jordan Hawkins has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.5 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.4% on threes (27th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a strong matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Hawkins slots into the 100th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 25.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.