Jordan Clarkson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Jordan Clarkson

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Clarkson

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Clarkson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.6%).
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 20.8 rate, Jordan Clarkson's points per game have tailed off this season to 17.1.
Compared to last season's 7.5 clip, Jordan Clarkson's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game.
The Utah Jazz rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 14.3 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

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