Jonathan Mogbo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Jonathan Mogbo

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Mogbo

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Mogbo has made 58.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Jonathan Mogbo has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have posted the highest FG% in the league this year (55.8%).
The 2nd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the league while playing at home with 16.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 104.6 points per game while on their home court ranks 3rd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Charlotte Hornets).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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