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Jonathan Mogbo

Jonathan Mogbo Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-109).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing at home.

Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 88.9% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 54.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home.

Jonathan Mogbo has tallied 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a favorable one for three-pointers; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 44.7% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonathan Mogbo has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The 7th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat).

The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game (14th percentile).

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