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Jonathan Mogbo

Jonathan Mogbo Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2025

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonathan Mogbo has converted 66.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 32.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

The Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 8th-best in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Mogbo has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 35.7% more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raptors check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The number of points totaled against Alperen Sengun has been quite low (10.7 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

The matchup with Alperen Sengun in terms of getting to the charity stripe ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Jonathan Mogbo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production for all stats.

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