Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has made 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Jonathan Kuminga has converted 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The matchup against Jaren Jackson Jr. is a difficult one for threes; when Jackson Jr. is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have made a mere 24.6% of their shots from downtown (17th percentile).
Jonathan Kuminga ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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