Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the league as the home team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.
Jonathan Kuminga will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-slowest tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Jonathan Kuminga has sunk just 53.4% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 73.0 mark last year.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the home team: 6th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.3 foul shots per game.