Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 3:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
In contrast to last season's 73.0% rate, Jonathan Kuminga's free-throw efficiency has tailed off this season to 52.6%.
As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe on their home court: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 19.5 free throw attempts per game.

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