Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has compiled 22.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's compiled overall this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga registers in the 23rd percentile for three-point ability with a lackluster 26.6% rate this year.
Jonathan Kuminga has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
Jonathan Kuminga will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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