Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.
Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 40.6% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, creating a strong matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
In regard to scoring, the Warriors's unimpressive 45.7% field goal percentage as the road team rates 10th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Jonathan Kuminga will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

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