Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 67.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 28.7% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 1stbest in in the league with 15.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga ranks in the 83rd percentile for getting to the foul line, registering an enormous 3.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
In terms of offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 112.7 points per game as the home team rates 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 8th-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.

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