Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 69.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.
Jonathan Kuminga has converted 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.3% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 83rd percentile for getting to the foul line, compiling a massive 3.6 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 85th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a difficult one; when the Nets are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (11.6).
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have secured 13.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (preserving possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).