Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 10.5 shots from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.6 mark last season.
The 3rd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 11 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has made a measly 21.3% of his 3-point attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 35.3 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 2.3 rate, Jonathan Kuminga's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 3.0.
In terms of shooting, the Warriors's lackluster 45.3% field goal percentage rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (0.8).
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).