Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 6.8 mark, Jonathan Kuminga's shots from the field have spiked this year to 9.4 per game.
The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.9 rate last year.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk just 16.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly lower than his 35.3 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged 43.8 buckets per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a monstrous 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).