Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has made 66.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 17.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year away from his home court.
Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 63.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 28.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).
This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing squads have posted the highest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (50.6%).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 20.3 free throws per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Kings have the home court advantage, their opposition have attempted a monstrous 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).
Jonathan Kuminga will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player performance for all stats.