Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 64.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.
Jonathan Kuminga has converted 40.7% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year away from home.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (79th percentile).
This matchup is a good one for scoring; when the Kings are at home, opposing clubs have put up the highest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (50.6%).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Kings are playing at home, their opposition have attempted an enormous 26.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the league).
Jonathan Kuminga will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player performance for all stats.