Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 61.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 12.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Jonathan Kuminga has converted 41.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 11.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the other team have attempted an enormous 24.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (9th-most in the NBA).
Jonathan Kuminga will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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