Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 5.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 40.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 11.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while at home.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a tough one; when the Pelicans are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 15 games (10.9).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.1 foul shots per game.

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