Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 24.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.
Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, -0.9 lower than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (15.8).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, averaging a mere 17.5 foul shots per game.

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