Jonathan Kuminga Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Jonathan Kuminga ought to see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (89th percentile).
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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