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Jonathan Isaac

Jonathan Isaac Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonathan Isaac has sunk 51.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.5% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Jonathan Isaac has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (25th percentile).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 20.5 foul shots per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonathan Isaac has sunk just 21.3% of his shots from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 34.7 rate last year.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team has tallied the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat are at home (38.3).

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

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