Jonathan Isaac Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Isaac

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Isaac has made 34.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 6 games, 17.7% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Jonathan Isaac has tallied 0.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (14th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has averaged 32.5% on threes (6th-weakest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Jazz have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe away from their home court: 5th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.1 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Jonathan Isaac has attempted 0.8 treys per game over the last 6 games when playing away from home, 1.2 lower than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
When it comes to shooting, the Magic's unimpressive 108.1 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Utah Jazz are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (8th-most in the league).
Jonathan Isaac will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production across the board.