Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has put up 9.3 rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas ought to experience a decrease in output across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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