Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has totaled 9.5 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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