Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has compiled 3.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).
Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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