Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has totaled 10.2 rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 98th percentile.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will likely see an increase in production in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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