Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has compiled 9.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's compiled overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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