Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's fantastic 125.1 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have tallied the 27th-most threes per game in the league over the last 23 games (12.6).
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 10thworst in in the league when playing on the road with only 10.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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