Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 1, 2025

Updated Dec 2, 2025 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 7 games with the home court advantage.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

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