Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Oct 23, 2025

Updated Oct 24, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for shooting prowess with a great 55.9% rate since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 9th percentile for 3-point performance with a bad 20.7% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.
Jonas Valanciunas stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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