Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 23.9% more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing on the road.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).
Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Kings have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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