Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 23.9% more than he's converted from three in all games this season while playing on the road.
Jonas Valanciunas has played 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.5 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league on the road with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
In terms of three-pointers, the Kings's unimpressive 33.5% rate of drained threes while playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Magic).
Jonas Valanciunas figures to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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