Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 11.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from his home court.
Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The number of shots from the field against Mason Plumlee has been quite high (12.0 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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