Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 64.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court.
Jonas Valanciunas has played 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup against Ivica Zubac is a positive one for 3-point shots; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 1.0 3-point shots per game (97th percentile).
The Kings rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The Kings rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
Jonas Valanciunas will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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