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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
  • The clash with Nikola Jokic lands in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs hitting a colossal 6.1 baskets per game this year.
  • The Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's made overall this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the road team this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Jonas Valanciunas will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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