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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has made 63.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while playing on the road.
  • The matchup against Dwight Powell is a strong one for field goal attempts; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 field goals per game (97th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup with Dwight Powell in regard to getting to the charity stripe ranks in only the 89th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game this year when they are on the away squad.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • With respect to three-point shots, the Kings's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
  • Jonas Valanciunas will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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