Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 63.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season without the home court advantage.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should lead to increased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
When it comes to threes, the Kings's subpar 33.2% rate of made threes on the road ranks 3rd-lowest in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a decline in output across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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