Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 24, 2025

Updated Feb 25, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 90th percentile for scoring effectiveness with an excellent 55.8% rate this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 0.5 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 6 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.

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