Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 55.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.
The Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 13th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 0.5 per game this year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.4% rate of made threes settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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