Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 55.3% of his shot attempts from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Jonas Valanciunas has converted 37.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 13.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing on the road.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a decline in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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