Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 55.0% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Jonas Valanciunas has made a whopping 88.7% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 80.8 mark last year.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a decline in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

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