Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 86th percentile for field goal efficiency when playing away from home with a great 54.8% rate this year.
Jonas Valanciunas has made 41.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
With respect to threes, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 32.6% rate of sunk threes away from their home court comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Jonas Valanciunas will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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