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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 77.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.

The Washington Wizards check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Mark Williams has been very high (3.7 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The rate of 3-point shots hit against Mark Williams has been very low (22.5%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.

The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production across the board.

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