Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Washington Wizards

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-200/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 90th percentile for field goal prowess with an exceptional 56.5% rate this year.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 16.7% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 10th percentile among all players in the league.
Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The matchup against Guerschon Yabusele is a difficult one for field goals; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a mere 4.2 baskets per game (3rd percentile).
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 9thworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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