Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 91st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with the home court advantage with a very good 50.0% rate this year.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Brandon Clarke has been remarkably high (2.7 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (88th percentile).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The showdown with Brandon Clarke in terms of getting to the foul line registers in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 12th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on his home court, registering 0.4 per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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