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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 10/24/2024

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 87th percentile for scoring ability with an outstanding 54.4% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 100th percentile for 3-point efficiency at home with a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

In terms of shooting, the Wizards's exceptional 43.0 drained shots per game ranks 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.

The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.

Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).

The number of 3-pointers made against Al Horford has been remarkably low (0.6 per game) when defending other starting Cs since the start of last season (18th percentile).

The Wizards will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league since the start of last season (the Celtics).

The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup with Al Horford with respect to getting to the free-throw line lands in the 21st percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season.

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