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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 54.4% of his shot attempts from the field with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The number of points registered against Chet Holmgren has been very high (17.0 per game) when he is away from his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • The Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Chet Holmgren has been remarkably high (4.5 foul shots per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 3.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 24.1% less than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
  • The 10th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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