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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 17.2 points per game without the home court advantage when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

The Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% higher than he's made in all games this season at home.

The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.6 free throws per game (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 3.0% of his treys over the last 15 games, 24.4% lower than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 100.6 points per game comes in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

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