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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 84th percentile for field goal performance on his home court with a great 55.0% rate this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The faceoff with Anthony Davis places in the 100th percentile with the opposition's starting Cs scoring an enormous 38.5% of their 3-pointers this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 2.8% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 25.6% less than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game (13th percentile).

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