Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 67.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will likely get a boost in efficiency for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a lowly 27.1% of their 3-point shots (13th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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